RFE
18 Apr 2025, 03:40 GMT+10
There was recently talk of getting a Ukraine cease-fire in place by Easter. That hasnt happened, but there may have been sometangible progressin diplomatic efforts to cheer hearts this weekend.
The noises coming out of Paris following high-level talks between key European countries, Ukraine, and the United States have been unusually positive.
It was the first such meeting between them in this format, and in many ways the omens were not good.
US efforts to get Russia to agree to any kind of a cease-fire have been met with vague words andincreased bombingby Moscow.
US special envoy Steve Witkoff said a deal was emerging after histhird meetingwith Russian President Vladimir Putin on April 11 -- hinting that Ukraine must make massive territorial concessions to Russia.
In Kyiv, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy accused Witkoff of spreading Russian narratives.
In Paris, a 45-second video was released showing Emmanuel Bonne, a senior French adviser, apparently asking Witkoff to begin proceedings with a debrief before the camera team was hustled out by security.
It seemed as if they wanted to kick the cameras out before he said anything.
It's perfectly clear that most of the European leaders, including [French President Emmanuel] Macron, are fully opposed to all the proposals made, especially by Steve Witkoff, French political analyst Nicolas Tenzer told RFE/RL.
But Tenzer, who is chairman of the Center for Studies and Research on Political Decision (CERAP), a Paris think tank, added that the meeting itself was a sign of progress.
They are now understanding that they cannot make any kind of agreement without the Europeans, he said.
New agreements on Ukraine were not declared. But the parties did agree that there would be more talks next week in London in the new format: Europe, Ukraine, and the United States. This seems to be a major development.
Minsters of Foreign Affairs meet in Paris, April 17, 2025
Also at the Paris talks was US envoy Keith Kellogg, who inMunichin February said Europe would not have a place at the table when Ukraines future was negotiated. Kellogg has himself since been largely absent from key meetings.
"The 'E3' are around the table and we're doing it with a European ambition," said a French diplomat, referring to Britain, France, and Germany collectively.
Alina Polyakova, president of the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) in Washington, also said the meeting suggested that Washington was now seeking support from Europe.
They realized that you need European input because they have skin in the game, she said.
This is not just about a swath of territory in Ukraine. This is about broader questions of European security and you cant disentangle those.
There were also diplomatic developments elsewhere.
President Donald Trump meets with Italy's Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni in the Oval Office, April 17, 2025
While leaders gathered in Paris, US President Donald Trump was hosting Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni in the White House.
He said there could be two other developments in the coming days: an agreement with Ukraine in giving the United States access to itsrare earth minerals, and a response from Russia on a possible cease-fire in Ukraine.
In both cases, earlier optimistic statements from US officials have failed to bear fruit.
But the prospect of a new diplomatic track involving Europe, Ukraine, and the United States is genuinely new. The question now is whether the announced meeting in London will be the start of a fruitful new diplomatic process or just another dead end.
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